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POLICY BRIEF FROM AMERICANS FOR TAX REFORM
Pension Liberation
for Virginia
By Peter
J. Ferrara
In this Policy Brief:
Introduction
A quiet revolution for workers
control and choice over their own retirement finances, and taxpayer
relief, is beginning to take hold across the states. The issue involves
reform of pension programs for state and local government workers. Because
of the liberating effects of the budding reforms for both workers and
taxpayers, the movement has been dubbed pension liberation.
Traditionally, state and local government
pensions have involved "defined benefit" plans. Under these
plans, the employer promises a specified retirement benefit and saves
and invests annual contributions in a common pool to finance those benefits.
The new reforms involve offering workers the choice of an alternative
"defined contribution" plan. Under such plans, the employer
pays a specified amount into an individual retirement account for each
worker which becomes the workers private property. These funds
are then invested over the years by private investment managers the
worker chooses. In retirement, the account funds are then used to finance
the benefits the worker chooses and the accumulated account contributions
and investment returns can support.
Michigan has been the leader in the
new trend towards defined contribution plans among the states, adopting
a comprehensive plan proposed by Governor John Engler in 1996. California
began adopting such a plan for some of its workers that year as well,
and the reform process there continues. Ten states have now adopted
defined contribution reforms for a portion of their workers. Legislation
for such reform is now pending in 6 states, and formal legislative studies
for such reforms are under way in 12 other states, including Virginia.
This new trend among the states follows
a dramatic shift in the private sector towards defined contribution
plans over the past 20 years. The number of private sector employees
in such plans soared from 11 million in 1975 to 43 million in 1995,
an increase of about 300%. By contrast, defined benefit plans in the
private sector have stagnated, growing over the same period by less
than 10%, from 33 million covered workers to 36 million. More private
sector employees now have defined contribution plans than defined benefit
plans.
For workers, the defined contribution
plan is fully portable. Workers are able to take the funds paid into
their accounts wherever they go. Those who work for a few years in the
public sector and then move on, as most now do, would not lose all of
their employer pension contributions, as with typical defined benefit
plans. Moreover, the funds are under the control of each worker. They
dont have to worry about politicians mishandling the funds, accumulating
unfunded liabilities, or cutting their benefits. Indeed, in the private
market even the longer term workers may well earn higher benefits than
promised in defined benefit plans. Overall, such reform provides workers
with broad freedom of choice and control.
For taxpayers, the defined contribution
plan avoids the risks of having the government responsible for investing
huge pools of retirement funds. Instead, the governments expenses
are fixed as a percentage of payroll each year, with no investment risk
or danger of unfunded liabilities. This promotes certainty and stability
in budgeting. In addition, the simple defined contribution plan saves
large amounts in administrative costs, and possibly funding costs as
well. At the same time, because of the above benefits of defined contribution
plans for workers, such plans will help public employers recruit the
best workers.
Basically, the defined contribution
plan privatizes the investment function of the public employee pension
system.
This report will review these issues
in more detail, and advance a pension liberation proposal suited to
Virginia. It will first describe the Virginia public employee retirement
system. It will then discuss the reforms being proposed and adopted
in other states. The report will next outline a specific proposal for
Virginia. The advantages of such reform for both workers and taxpayers
will then be fully analyzed. The report will conclude by responding
to potential criticisms.
The Virginia Public Employee Retirement
System
The Virginia Retirement System (VRS)
provides retirement, survivors and disability benefits for state workers
from 234 state agencies, for the employees of 136 cities and towns in
the state, for the teachers and other employees of 146 local school
districts, for workers employed by 92 county governments, and for the
employees of 138 other political subdivisions in the state.(1)
Altogether, the plan covers about 84,000 state workers, 112,000 teachers,
and 75,000 workers from the other political subdivisions.(2)
It provides benefits to about 84,000 retirees and other beneficiaries.(3)
These benefits are in addition to those provided by Social Security.
Separate defined benefit plans cover
about 1,600 state police officers and about 400 state judges. The discussion
below will focus on the predominant VRS plan.
The normal retirement age for workers
in the VRS is 65. Workers with 30 years of service can retire with full
benefits at age 55. For those with less than 35 years of service, full
retirement benefits are equal to the average of the 3 years of highest
pre-retirement compensation times years of service times 1.5% of the
first $13,200 of average compensation and 1.65% of average compensation
above $13,200. So, for example, take a worker with 25 years of public
service and average compensation for the highest 3 years of $30,000.
The workers annual retirement benefit would be 1.5% of $13,200
plus 1.65% of $16,800 times 25, or $11,880. For a typical state government
retiree who retires after 21 years of government service, the average
benefit is currently about $900 per month, or $10,800 per year.(4)
For those with more than 35 years of
service, full retirement benefits are equal to the average of the 3
highest years of pre-retirement compensation times years of service
times 1.65%. So, for example, take a worker with 35 years of public
service and average compensation for the 3 highest years of $30,000.
The workers annual retirement benefit would be 1.65% times $30,000
times 35, or $17,325.
Workers are eligible for early retirement
at age 55 with at least 5 years of service, or at age 50 with at least
10 years of service if they worked for a public employer at any time
after Jan. 1, 1994. But the full benefits calculated as above are reduced
by 0.5% for each of the first 60 months of early retirement and 0.4%
for each additional month after age 55. Benefits are reduced by 0.6%
for each additional month of early retirement before 55. So, for example,
a worker with 20 years of service and $30,000 of average compensation
retiring at 55 would have the full annual benefit calculated under the
formula above ($9,504) reduced by 54% (0.5% x 60 + 0.4% x 60), to $4,372.
If the worker is closer to achieving
the service requirement of 30 years for full benefits at 55 than to
the normal retirement age of 65, then the benefit reduction can be calculated
based on the number of years short of the service requirement. For example,
take a worker at 55 with 25 years of service and $30,000 average compensation.
Instead of 10 years of calculated benefit reductions based on the normal
retirement age of 65, the workers benefits would be reduced for
just the 5 years short of the service requirement of 30 years for full
benefits at 55. So the workers benefit would be the full retirement
benefit ($11,880) reduced by 30% (o.5% times 60), or $8,316.
Workers may choose post-retirement
survivors benefits under a range of different options, including continuation
of 100% of the retirement benefit to the survivor, 50% of the retirement
benefit, or some other chosen percentage. However, if these survivors
benefits are chosen, the retirement benefit is actuarially reduced depending
on the percentage of continuing benefits chosen and the age of the designated
survivor beneficiary. Workers are also eligible for survivors benefits
for death before retirement, in varying amounts depending on salary
and length of service. Workers are eligible as well for disability benefits,
which vary depending on salary, length of service, and other factors.
Once these retirement, survivors, or
disability benefits begin, the VRS pays an annual cost-of-living increase
equal to the first 3 percentage points of inflation measured by the
Federal CPI-Urban index, plus half of each additional point up to 7%
inflation. So the maximum COLA increase in any year is 5% (3% plus one-half
of 4%).
Except for the disability benefits,
the right to these benefits vests only after 5 years of employment.
(Vesting is when workers become entitled to receive some benefits at
some point, now or in the future.) Workers who leave or die in service
before then receive back only the employee share of VRS contributions
plus 4% annual interest. Even after 5 years, workers who leave cannot
take the employer contributions or any investment returns with them.
They can only take out the employee contributions plus 4% interest,
and forego all future benefits under the system. Or they can wait until
retirement and receive whatever retirement benefits they may be entitled
to given their years of service.
The VRS is financed by contributions
from both workers and employers. The employee contribution is 5% of
wages, which the employer can agree to pay. In fact, Virginia state
and local government employers agree to pay about 86% of these employee
contributions overall.(5) Employers are required
to pay varying amounts that designated actuaries determine as necessary
to finance the promised benefits. In FY97, the state paid 4.18% of payroll
for its VRS contribution as an employer, and school districts paid 6.41%
of payroll on average. The contribution rates for other political subdivisions
ranged from 29.92% of payroll down to 0%. These employer contributions
cost state taxpayers over $800 million in FY 97 alone.
At the end of the last fiscal year,
the VRS trust funds held about $25.5 billion in accumulated assets.(6)
However, the system was still not fully funded, as these assets amounted
only to about 80% of accrued benefit liabilities.(7)
Pension Liberation Across America
As previously mentioned, Michigan has
adopted the most comprehensive defined contribution reform, doing so
in 1996. Under that reform, current state employees can choose the new
defined contribution plan or stay in the old defined benefit plan. All
newly hired employees will be in the defined contribution plan. The
reform originally committed to including all public school employees
in the reform. But since the old defined benefit plan was not fully
funded, this has been delayed to avoid transition funding problems.
Under the defined contribution plan,
Michigan contributes a minimum of 4% of the workers salary to
an individual investment account for each worker. The employer will
then match voluntary employee contributions up to an additional 3% of
salary, making a total contribution of 10%. The worker can contribute
up to an additional 13% of salary without employer match at the workers
choice.
The plan includes a vesting feature
added to the traditional defined contribution model. The employer contributions
are vested 50% after 2 years, 75% after 3 years, and 100% after four
years. Before such vesting, the employer contribution to a workers
individual account must be returned if the worker leaves to work for
another employer.
Current Michigan employees could choose
to switch to the new defined contribution plan only during an "open
season" in the first four months of 1998. For those who made the
switch, all past employee contributions to the defined benefit plan
were transferred to the defined contribution plan. In addition, for
workers who were vested in the defined benefit plan, an amount equal
to the present value of their accumulated retirement benefits was transferred
to their defined contribution account as well. Once a worker switched
to the defined contribution plan, he cannot later choose to go back
to the defined benefit plan. On the other hand, after the four month
window in early 1998, workers in the defined benefit plan can no longer
choose to switch to the defined contribution plan. For current workers
who did switch, their prior service in the old defined benefit plan
is counted toward the 4 year vesting requirement of the defined contribution
plan.
Investment options are structured for
these Michigan workers to make investing easy and reasonably secure.
First, they can choose from three core investment funds with set percentages
of asset allocations in different investment areas, reflecting a range
of risk and return variations. State Street Global Advisors, the third
party administrator for the plan and one of the largest pension investment
firms in the world, maintains these three funds, choosing the particular
investments and holding to the preset asset allocation requirements.
Secondly, the worker can choose from
among 12 pre-selected mutual funds considered the best in their primary
investment areas, whether stocks, or bonds, or other private investments.
Finally, the worker can choose a self-directed
option which includes the choice of hundreds of mutual funds determined
to be sound and suitable for retirement investment.
Workers who leave state employment
under the defined contribution plan can leave their assets in the same
structured investment system, or roll them over into an Individual Retirement
Account or a retirement plan maintained by their next employer.
Current workers who switched to the
defined contribution plan will receive the same retiree health benefits
as under the old defined benefit plan. For new workers in the defined
contribution plan, the state will pay 3% of the cost of the health benefits
for each year of service, up to a maximum of 90%. The retiree pays the
rest. These benefits vest after 10 years of service. Retirees can choose
any alternative private health plan and direct the state premium contribution
towards payment of that plan. This includes private Medical Savings
Account plans.
The states reform plan provides
for no change in the benefits of current retirees. Moreover, there will
be no change in benefits as well for employees who choose to stay in
the old defined benefit plan.
The state Department of Management
and Budget estimates that Michigan will save almost $100 million in
the first year alone because of the new defined contribution plan, due
to savings on employer contributions and administrative costs. Yet,
45% of state employees who effectively received no benefits under the
old plan because they left state employment too early will now be able
to benefit under the new system after state employment of only 2 years,
with fully vested benefits after only 4 years.
In addition to the state, four major
counties in Michigan have switched to defined contribution plans for
their workers. These include Oakland County, Saginaw County, Washtenaw
County, and Wayne County. The state capitol, Lansing, has switched as
well, and the city of Kalamazoo has a partial defined contribution plan.
The reform process in California began
with legislation proposed in 1996 by Assemblyman Howard Kaloogian (R-San
Diego). His bill would have authorized, but not required, state and
local employers throughout the state to offer defined contribution plans
as an alternative to their defined benefit plans. The defined benefit
option would have to be maintained as well.
The bill required employers to transfer
accrued benefits from the defined benefit plan to the workers
defined contribution account, for workers who chose the new plan option.
Otherwise, remaining details of the defined contribution plan, such
as employer and employee contributions, would be left to negotiations
between employers and workers. The bill would allow immediate vesting
of all employer contributions to the defined contribution accounts.
It would also allow a structured investment system as under the Michigan
reforms discussed above.
The bill would expand benefits to 70%
of state workers, who receive no benefits under the states existing
defined benefit plan because they never satisfy the vesting requirements.
At the same time, because of savings on administration and funding costs,
the state Department of Finance estimated that the bill would save a
whopping $1,642 each year for each new employee who chose the new system.
The bill would affect 1.2 million workers in the California Public Employees
Retirement System (CalPERS) and State Teachers Retirement System (STRS)
plans, which hold $165 billion in vested assets.
A limited version of Kaloogianss
plan passed in 1996, providing for new defined contribution options
for employees of the states colleges and universities. Kaloogian
is continuing legislative efforts to expand this option to all government
workers in the states. His most recent bill would expand the option
to all employees of the state legislature.
Other states with defined contribution
systems for some of their employees includes Ohio (university employees),
Illinois (university employees), Washington (public school employees),
Alabama (university employees), West Virginia (public school employees),
South Dakota (university and some other employees), Colorado (public
school employees) and Missouri (university employees). Legislation to
provide for such plans for more government workers is pending in California,
Colorado, South Dakota, Florida, Oklahoma, and Arizona. Twelve states
also have studies under way to consider such reform--Connecticut, Iowa,
Massachusetts, Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia.
A Defined Contribution Plan for
Virginia
Virginia should offer its workers an
alternative defined contribution retirement plan as well. This plan
can be structured as follows.
Workers and employers would each pay
the same amount into this defined contribution retirement plan that
they pay for the current retirement system. Employers would be required
to assume the employee contribution share for the defined contribution
plan to the same extent that they do for their defined benefit plan.
As the actuarially determined employer contribution for the defined
benefit plan changes up or down in future years, the employer would
be required to pay the same rate for the defined contribution plan.
Workers can be allowed to voluntarily contribute additional amounts,
up to a total of 20% of their wages counting the employer contributions,
or any higher limit allowed by federal tax law.
All contributions to the defined contribution
plan would go into an individual investment account for each worker.
These contributions would immediately become the private property of
each worker with no vesting period. The worker would then choose an
investment company to manage his or her account and pick the particular
investments for the account. The workers could choose from a wide range
of different companies approved by the state. Companies that wanted
to manage such funds would apply to the state for approval. The state
would approve only reliable firms with established expertise, which
would commit to comply with the states rules and regulations.
Such companies would include major stock brokerage firms, banks, insurance
companies, mutual funds and others. Workers could switch among these
investment companies during an open season each year.
The investment companies would then
determine what particular stocks, bonds and other investments to buy
with the funds in each workers account. Highly risky and speculative
investments would be prohibited. But the funds could be invested in
domestic and foreign stocks and bonds, government securities, perhaps
certain real estate vehicles, and other instruments. The Federal regulations
currently applying to investments in Individual Retirement Accounts
and 401(k) plans would be a good model to follow.
Investment returns to the accounts
would be tax free over the years. Some of the contributed funds would
be set aside to buy private life and disability insurance matching the
survivors and disability benefits of the current defined benefit system.
The investment company chosen by the worker would be responsible for
obtaining such insurance. No withdrawals from the defined contribution
investment account would be allowed before retirement.
The worker could retire at any age
at which retirement is permissible under the current defined benefit
system, which would be age 50 after 10 years of service, 55 after 5
years of service, or 65. Retirement benefits would equal what the funds
accumulated in each workers retirement account could support.
Workers could choose to buy a private annuity with some or all of the
funds, which would guarantee specified benefits for the rest of the
workers life. Or the worker could rely on periodic withdrawals
from the accounts, which would be limited to ensure that workers would
not run out of funds before a reasonable life expectancy.
Workers today who have already paid
into the current defined benefit plan for any number of years would
be free to switch to this new defined contribution plan. They would
each receive a lump sum payment from the current defined benefit plan
into their new defined contribution retirement accounts. This payment
would be equal to their share of the assets in the current defined benefit
plan set aside to finance their accrued retirement benefits. This should
compensate them sufficiently for both the employer and employee contributions
paid into the system over the years.
The new defined contribution plan would
only be an option for all current and future government workers in the
state covered by any of the current defined benefit plans. Each would
be free to choose it or to choose to stay in the current defined benefit
plan. Workers who remain in the defined benefit plan would continue
to be free to choose the new defined contribution alternative during
an open season each year.
Advantages of Defined Contribution
Reforms
Such a defined contribution reform
plan would produce enormous advantages for the state workers and taxpayers
of Virginia.
Advantages for Workers
Portability. The clearest advantage
for workers of the defined contribution plan is portability. The funds
would be paid directly into each individual workers own account
and immediately become the workers direct property. When a worker
leaves state employment for another job, he or she can then take this
individual retirement account with them. This account would include
all past employer and employee contribution plus full market investment
returns. As a result, the defined contribution plan provides for full
portability.
The current defined benefit VRS plan,
by contrast, has no real portability. When a worker leaves, he or she
can take with them only the employee share of past contributions plus
4% interest. They must give up the employer contributions for all of
their years of work, all investment returns on those contributions,
and the full market investment returns on the employee contributions
in excess of 4% interest.
This lack of portability is highly
damaging to shorter term and younger workers. Shorter term here means
those working less than about 15-20 years in state employment. For reasons
discussed fully below, the VRS, like defined benefit plans generally,
does not provide good benefits for younger workers who stay less than
15-20 years or so in service. The system is skewed to favor the longest
term workers. As a result, the shorter term workers cannot take anything
but the employee share of past contributions plus nominal interest when
they leave, and they are not offered good benefits if they just wait
to receive what the system will later pay them. These workers can frankly
do much better by just taking their own money out and investing it,
rather than waiting for these future benefits from the system.
As a result of the lack of portability
and the plans benefit structure, most state workers end up not
getting any significant benefits from a typical defined benefit retirement
system. They just end up leaving with their own money back. In California,
which has defined benefit plans for their government workers similar
to the VRS, 70% of state and local workers end up not getting any retirement
benefits from the system. In Michigan, 45% of state workers and 65%
of public school employees effectively received no benefits under the
old defined benefit plan. Notably, the actuaries for the Virginia
plan assume that 75% of workers who leave before age 50 will elect to
simply take the employee contributions plus interest from the system,
effectively receiving no benefits from the employer share of contributions.(8)
The defined contribution plan solves
these problems with full and immediate portability. Under the plan proposed
above, 100% of workers would get retirement benefits for the years they
worked for state or local government. And they would take those benefits
with them wherever they go. This would be highly beneficial for younger
and shorter term workers who stay in public employment roughly 15-20
years or less. This probably constitutes the majority of people who
work for state or local government for at least part of their lives.
Vesting. The defined contribution plan
also eliminates any vesting requirement. The funds paid into the workers
account immediately become the property of the worker and remain fully
available to pay future retirement benefits. This includes the employer
as well as employee contributions and all investment returns on those
contributions. Under the current defined benefit system, by contrast,
the 5 year vesting requirement eliminates any real benefit for workers
who stay less than 5 years.
Consequently, the defined contribution
plan is highly beneficial for these shortest term workers. A vesting
requirement can be imposed on a defined contribution plan, as in Michigan,
allowing workers to take permanent control of the funds in their own
accounts only after the vesting period. But there is really no good
reason for such a requirement in the defined contribution context. A
vesting requirement in a defined benefit plan makes sense to eliminate
small and relatively inconsequential benefit payments to numerous short
term employees, and the burden of keeping track of the financing and
payment of such benefits. But in a defined contribution plan, the government
simply pays a proportion of the workers salary into the workers
own account and leaves it to the worker after that. Eliminating any
vesting requirement would allow all workers to receive retirement contributions
for the years they worked for the government employer, without any significant
administrative burden on the system.
Fair Benefits. Under traditional defined
benefit plans, benefits are skewed to favor the longer term and oldest
workers and disadvantage the younger and shorter term workers. This
occurs in the VRS as well, in several standard ways.
First, of course, the vesting requirements
eliminate benefits for those working less than 5 years, with the funds
devoted to benefits for those working longer term.
Secondly, the benefits are a percentage
of final salary, which tends to be much higher for those have worked
the longest, and for older workers. Take the example of a worker who
enters governmental employment at 22, continues that employment for
15 years, and then leaves for a private sector job. The final three
years of salary used to calculate the workers benefits at retirement
will be the years when the worker was 35-37. No salary increases for
the next 25-30 years of the workers career will be counted. By
contrast, suppose another worker starts employment at 22, continues
working for the same government employer for 40 years, and retires at
62. As compared to the first worker, this employees benefits will
naturally equal an additional 1.5% - 1.65% of salary for each additional
year worked past age 37, which fairly gives the worker credit for the
additional years worked. But this additional 1.5% - 1.65% per year will
be taken against the final salary at age 62, which will include 25 years
of additional salary increases. This gives the second worker more benefits
for each year of work than the first worker.
Indeed, compare the first worker to
an older worker who also works 15 years for the government. Assume this
older worker starts government employment at age 47, continues that
employment for 15 years, and retires at age 62. That worker will receive
benefits equal to 1.5% - 1.65% for each of the 15 years of service,
or 23% - 24%, times the average salary at ages 60-62. The average salary
at these ages will incorporate an additional 25 years of salary increases
as compared to the salary at ages 35-37 which is used to calculate the
benefits of the first worker, who will receive 23% - 24% times this
lower average salary. So the older worker will receive much higher benefits
even though he or she worked the same number of years as the younger
worker.
Thirdly, granting the same percentages
of final salary for each year worked does not give the full value to
younger workers of the contributions made for them. Consider again our
worker who enters government employment at 22, works for 15 years, and
then leaves for private sector work. The contributions paid into the
system for him during his years of employment, including the employer
and employee contributions, continue to earn investment returns for
many years after he leaves government employment. Yet, this worker will
only get the same 1.5% - 1.65% of final salary for each of his 15 years
of government employment as other workers. Consequently, the worker
will get nothing for all the years of investment returns after he leaves
employment on the contributions made for him. These returns will be
redistributed to finance the higher benefits of older and longer term
workers. Indeed, the contributions for the older worker who entered
government employment at age 47 and retired at 62 only earn returns
for 15 years before the workers retirement, while the contributions
for the younger worker earned returns over a 40 year period before retirement
at age 62. Yet, the older worker receives more in benefits rather then
less, with funds effectively redistributed to that worker from the younger
worker.
Inflation makes the problem even worse.
Salary increases over the years usually incorporate compensation for
inflation. When benefits are calculated based on salary, they will incorporate
the compensation for inflation included in the salary increases over
the workers career. But for younger, shorter term workers, this
inflation compensation stops when they leave government employment,
as the salary used for their benefit calculations is fixed at that age.
So, for our 15 year worker who leaves for the private sector at age
37, the value of his salary for retirement benefit calculations will
be depreciated by inflation over the next 25 years, until retirement
at age 62. The value of the workers benefits will consequently
be depreciated by such inflation as well. By contrast, the longer term
and older workers will be fully compensated for inflation through their
salary increases over working years.
None of these distortions occur in
the defined contribution plan. The contributions to the workers
account immediately vest as the property of the worker, so the worker
gets to keep those contributions in any event. Each worker also gets
the full market investment returns on the contributions for every year
thereafter, giving him the full value of those contributions, rather
than redistributing some to others based on a calculated percentage
of final salary. Finally, those investment returns over the years will
also include an inflation compensation component, again giving the worker
compensation for inflation for each year after the contribution is made.
Consequently, the defined contribution
plan gives fair, undistorted benefits to each and every worker. Those
who work longer get proportionally higher benefits to the extent they
worked longer. But they do not get disproportionally higher benefits,
skewed to favor them over other workers, and effectively redistributing
funds from these workers to them.
Personal Control. In the defined contribution
plan, the retirement funds for each worker are under the direct ownership
of the worker in his or her own individual account. Workers can then
pick the private investment manager that will best serve them in the
private competitive market. They consequently no longer have to worry
about adverse changes in their retirement plan or politicians failing
to make good on their promises, at least for the years already worked,
as the contributions for those years already belong to them in full.
Better Benefits. Younger and shorter
term workers who work roughly 20 years or less in government employment
would generally get much better benefits from the defined contribution
plan, because of all the factors discussed above. However, even the
longest term workers couldl get better benefits from the defined contribution
plan as well.
This is shown in the accompanying Table.
The table assumes that 10% of salary is paid into the defined contribution
plan each year. Of this total, 15%, or 1.5% of payroll, is assumed to
be devoted to financing pre-retirement survivors and disability benefits
equivalent to those paid by the VRS. Current expenditures for these
benefits seem to be running slightly less than this as a percent of
payroll.
The remainder of contributions are
assumed to be invested and to earn a 5.5% real rate of return over the
long run. In fact, over the 70 year period from 1926 to 1996, going
back before the Great Depression, the composite real rate of return
on all stocks in the Standard and Poors 500 was 7.5%. (9)
The composite real rate of return on smaller company stocks on the New
York Stock Exchange over this period was even higher, at 9.5%.(10)
A diversified portfolio of 75% large stocks and 25% small stocks would
have earned a real return of 8%. Over the long term, the real return
paid by investment quality corporate bonds has been 3-4%.(11)
So a 5.5% real return is a quite fair assumption allowing for some diversification
of stocks and bonds, reasonable administrative costs (which should be
less than 50 basis points), and quite ordinary investment performance.
Take the example of a worker who earns
$30,000 per year over his career after inflation. After 40 years of
work, this worker would retire with a fund of about $350,000 in todays
dollars. Assuming retirement at the normal Social Security retirement
age, that fund would finance an annuity paying the worker almost $50,000
per year each year for the rest of his life, or about 164% of pre-retirement
income. The VRS would pay the worker only 66% of final salary, or $19,800
per year. The results are similar for workers earning $40,000 and $50,000
per year.
For those who work for 30 instead of
40 years, the table shows that for those who retire at the normal Social
Security age the defined contribution plan would still pay much more
than the VRS defined benefit plan. This would apply to a worker who
started employment in his mid 30s and retired in his mid 60s. However,
even for a worker who started employment at 25 and retired at the early
retirement age of 55 under the VRS, the accumulated funds in the defined
contribution plan would be sufficient to pay higher benefits than the
VRS.
The table also shows the enormous advantage
of the defined contribution plan for the shorter term workers. Take
a worker who enters government employment at 25, works for 20 years,
and then leaves for the private sector. Payments equal to 10% of salary
are paid into the defined contribution plan each year during his 20
years of employment, but contributions stop after that. However, the
funds continue to be invested and earn investment returns. A worker
earning $30,000 per year after inflation would retire in the future
with a fund of over $300,000 ($304, 634) in todays 1998 dollars.
That would finance an annuity about 4.5 times as large as the VRS would
pay. The results are similar for workers earning $40,000 per year and
$50,000 per year after inflation.
Or take a worker who starts government
employment at 25 and works for 10 years before leaving for the private
sector. Payments into the system stop after those 10 years, but the
accumulated funds again continue to earn investment returns after that.
A $30,000 per year worker would reach retirement in the future with
a fund of almost $200,000 ($192,143) in todays 1998 dollars. That
fund would finance an annuity paying benefits equal to about 5.6 times
what the VRS would pay.
The reasons for the advantage of the
defined contribution plan for the shorter term workers were discussed
above. But how can the advantage for the longer term workers as well
be explained? Workers just do not seem to be getting the most for their
money in defined benefit plans. While the VRS is currently earning fabulous
returns ,like most investors right now, that likely wont continue
over the long run. Moreover, those high current returns are not reflected
in the benefits promised to workers in any event. The current high returns
in the VRS are being used to increase the funding ratio of the plan
and reduce employer contributions. With a defined contribution plan,
workers would be enjoying the full, current high returns themselves
through their individual account investments. The analysis above shows
that during normal times at standard long term returns, which are much
less than what the market is providing now, longer term workers would
still get better benefits investing the funds on their own rather than
through the VRS defined benefit plan. The defined benefit plans are
either not being managed to maximize returns for workers sufficiently,
or some of the funds are being redirected to benefit the employer or
others.
Advantage for Taxpayers
No Investment Risk. The most obvious
advantage for taxpayers of the defined contribution plan is that it
eliminates investment risk for them. With the government managing a
common pool of investment funds under a defined benefit plan like the
VRS, the taxpayers bear the complete risk of poor investment performance.
If such poor performance leaves the pool unable to pay the promised
defined benefits, then the taxpayers will have to make up the difference.
Under the defined contribution plan,
however, the government simply makes a specific contribution to the
accounts of the workers each month. The government, and by implication
the taxpayers, are then not liable for the investment performance.
No Political Risk. Defined contribution
plans greatly reduce another set of risks that are usually overlooked
-- political risks. With the government specifying benefits far in the
future, as under a defined benefit plan like the VRS, there is always
a strong danger of political giveaways by short-sighted politicians.
These politicians can promise higher retirement benefits, while leaving
future officials and taxpayers to pay for them. Under a defined contribution
plan, where the government does not specify future benefits but only
makes regular investment contributions, this risk is eliminated.
Moreover, a large government investment
pool, as under a defined benefit plan, is always subject to the danger
of political interference that could raise costs. Political favoritism
may influence investment policy, prohibiting some investments and forcing
the fund into others. By taking the focus off of simply maximizing investment
returns, such political favoritism will reduce investment returns and
increase the cost of funding the specified defined benefits.
Politicians may seek to raid the large,
tempting investment pool in other ways as well. They may seek to draw
supposedly excess funds out of the pool in one way or another, perhaps
by replacing an overfunded plan with a new one, or reducing the governments
contributions. Or they may try to use the funds for short-term added
benefits. Politicians and bureaucrats have been known even to siphon
funds out of these plans improperly or illegally. These actions would
again raise costs for taxpayers.
Government management of the funds
also creates the risk of less than competent handling of the funds by
bureaucrats who lack the incentives, competitive pressures, and expertise
of private investment managers. Attempts to insulate the funds from
political and bureaucratic control by contracting out to private investment
managers may not be entirely successful. The investment managers can
still be subject to political pressure, political mandates in their
contracts, or even counterproductive legislative mandates.
Finally, a large government investment
pool creates the risk for taxpayers of greater government control of
the private economy. Through such a pool, the government may end up
owning large shares of private companies. The government would also
hold a large share of investment capital that it could use to impose
mandates on the private sector.
Even where there has been a good record
of avoiding these abuses in the past, the danger is always present.
However, none of these risks arising from a large government investment
pool exist in a defined contribution plan, where the government does
not maintain such a pool.
No Unfunded Liability. The defined
contribution plan eliminates the danger of any unfunded liability, from
any source, that must be covered by taxpayers. Under a defined benefit
plan, like the VRS, any shortfall in the common investment pool that
leaves the pool unable to pay the promised benefits, creating an unfunded
liability, must be covered by the taxpayers, regardless of the cause
of the shortfall. In the defined contribution plan, where the government
does not maintain a common investment pool but only pays a specified
amount to each workers individual account each month, there is
no possibility of an unfunded liability that taxpayers would have to
cover.
Greater Control Over Costs. The defined
contribution plan provides the government and taxpayers greater control
over costs. Costs under a defined benefit plan, where the government
has pledged to provide a certain benefit amount regardless of cost,
can vary greatly, depending on a wide range of factors outside the governments
control. Retirees can live longer, greatly increasing costs. More workers
may stay with the government employer long term, increasing costs. Interest
rates or the stock market may decline, requiring increased contributions
to make up the difference.
With the defined contribution plan,
by contrast, the government is responsible only for a specified contribution
each year. This contribution is completely dependent only on what the
government agrees with workers or their union to pay. This means greater
certainty and predictability in budgeting. There is no possibility that
taxpayers will be surprised with a large, unexpected unfunded liability
requiring increased taxes.
Reduced Costs. A defined contribution
plan will also significantly reduce costs. Defined benefit plans have
substantial administrative costs for the government employer. The government
must maintain and pay for the management of the large common pool of
assets. It must also administer the benefits, determining eligibility
and making payments.
With a defined contribution plan, by
contrast, administrative costs for the government employer are negligible.
The government simply pays an amount into each employees own account
as part of payroll processing. The worker and his investment company
take over administration of the account after that.
Improved Employee Recruitment. Finally,
because of the advantages to employees noted above, defined contribution
plans can help state and local governments attract employees. Highly
talented workers may not be willing to commit to state government employment
long term. But they may be willing to work for a state or local government
for a few years. The defined contribution plan would make it easier
to recruit such workers because it is fully portable, and the workers
can take the saved contributions with them when they leave one job for
another. Moreover, workers would favor the freedom of choice, personal
control, and possibly higher benefits that they could get through defined
contribution plans.
Criticisms of Defined Contribution
Plans
Unsophisticated Workers
One of the major criticisms of defined
contribution plans is that most workers are too unsophisticated about
investing to handle the responsibility of directing their own retirement
investments. This underestimates the capabilities of working people.
Nevertheless, the plan proposed above was carefully structured to avoid
this problem. Under this proposed plan, workers would simply pick from
a range of sophisticated, highly reliable, investment management companies.
These would include large banks, insurance companies, stock brokerage
firms, and others. These highly sophisticated investment managers would
then be picking the individual stocks, bonds and other investments,
not the workers.
Investment Risk
Probably the main criticism of defined
contribution plans is that they shift investment risk from the employer
to the worker. In a defined benefit plan, the worker receives the specified
benefits regardless of investment performance, so the worker bears no
investment risk. In a defined contribution plan, the workers benefits
depend entirely on the investment performance of his retirement account,
so the worker bears full investment risk. Poor investment performance
leads directly to lower benefits.
What is not widely recognized is that
while defined contribution plans leave workers subject to investment
risk, defined benefit plans without inflation adjustments leave workers
subject to inflation risk. As inflation rises, the specified benefit
in an unadjusted defined benefit plan is worth less and less. Under
a defined contribution plan, by contrast, the workers investments
would rise along with inflation over the long run, providing a real,
above inflation, market rate of return. This would tend to keep prospective
long run benefits rising with inflation. The VRS has only a partial
inflation adjustment, so it is partially subject to this inflation-adjusted
problem.
Also not sufficiently appreciated is
that workers can fully handle the investment risk posed by defined contribution
plans, for several reasons. First, retirement investments are very long
term. The worker is investing not only for his entire career, but, indeed,
for his entire life, as the remaining retirement fund will continue
to be invested to support benefits throughout retirement. With such
a long term investment horizon, perhaps 60 years or more, workers can
weather many ups and downs in investment performance, with the average
return on a diversified portfolio very likely over the long run to close
in on the average long term market return.
Secondly, workers can easily invest
in simple, widely available, highly diversified pools of stocks, bonds
and other investments, through mutual funds and other vehicles. Such
diversified pools will track the general market investment returns discussed
above over the long run. Indeed, with a sufficiently broad based investment
pool, the worker would basically own a piece of the economy as a whole.
If the entire economy collapses, state and local governments will not
be able to support defined benefit plan promises either.
Thirdly, with professional investment
managers handling the specific investments for workers, investment risk
can be minimized in a sophisticated and reliable manner through diversification
and other market strategies.
Workers, indeed, may be able to handle
this investment risk better than state and local governments. For they
can do so without all of the political risks discussed above.
Transition Issues
Another argument is that the transition
to a defined contribution plan will be costly because the government
will have to pay the workers leaving the defined benefit plan their
share of accumulated funds to take to the new plan. But if the defined
benefit plan is fully funded, then it will have the money saved in its
common trust fund to pay the departing workers. If the defined benefit
plan is not fully funded, then it needs to be in any event, and the
government will have to bear that cost anyway.
Moreover, experience shows that those
who leave defined benefit plans to take a defined contribution option
are primarily the shorter term and younger workers with little in accumulated
funds in the defined benefit plan. As a result, while 63% of the government
workers in West Palm Beach, Florida chose the newly offered defined
contribution plan, they took with them only 14% of the assets of the
old defined benefit plan. The assets of that plan actually continued
to increase through the transition, climbing from $80.7 million before
the conversion to $86.4 million after the conversion.(12)
Similarly, while 42% of the government workers in Oakland County, Michigan
chose the new defined contribution plan, they took with them only 13%
of the assets of the old defined benefit plan. That plans assets
continued to increase throughout the transition as well, climbing from
$440.4 million before the conversion to $513.6 million after.(13)
Because of this effect, the VRS should
be sufficiently well funded to handle the adoption of a defined contribution
option for workers. Moreover, the state is increasing the relative funding
of the plan over time, increasing its ability to fund any transition.
Finally, in any event, the reform could simply provide that workers
leaving for the defined contribution plan would take with them only
a proportion of the funds for their accrued benefits equal to the plans
total proportion of full funding. So if the plan was only 80% fully
funded, workers who chose the defined contribution plan would take assets
from the defined benefit plan equal to only 80% of the funding for their
accrued benefits.
Conclusion
Virginia should adopt the defined contribution
reform plan advanced in this study. That plan would offer state and
local government workers the choice of a defined contribution retirement
plan in place of their current defined benefit plans. Such a plan offers
great advantages for both workers and taxpayers.
Footnotes
-
Virginia Retirement System, Comprehensive
Annual Report for the Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 1997, p.27
-
Ibid., p.10
-
Ibid., p.4
-
Ibid., p. 86
-
Ibid., p. 30
-
Ibid., p. 20
-
Ibid., p. 40
-
Virginia Retirement System, Comprehensive
Annual Report for the Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 1997, p.71.
-
Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation,
1997 Yearbook, (Chicago, Ill., Ibbotson Associates, Inc., 1997)
-
Ibid.
-
Calculated from Moodys
Investor Services, Industrial Manual, Bond Survey
-
Peter J. Ferrara, Pension Liberation,
American Legislative Exchange Council, State Factor, 1996
-
Ibid.
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